2026 governor races › Georgia

Georgia Governor Race 2026: Bottoms vs. Jackson

General election November 3, 2026 · Updated October 19, 2026

Toss-upOpen seat

Open seat; Gov. Brian Kemp (R) is term-limited.

Candidates

Where the race stands

The RealClearPolling average has Jackson (R) up 48.2 to 46.6 across five polls, which run from a tie to a three-point Jackson lead; the two October polls in the average both have Jackson up by a point or two. Markets split on a coin flip: Polymarket has Lance Bottoms (D) at about 52 percent, while Kalshi has Republicans at about 52 percent.
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Alaska: Tilt DAlabama: Very Likely RArkansas: Solid RArizona: Lean DCalifornia: Solid DColorado: Solid DConnecticut: Solid DDE: no governor race in 2026Florida: Lean RGeorgia: Toss-upHawaii: Solid DIowa: Tilt DIdaho: Solid RIllinois: Solid DIN: no governor race in 2026Kansas: Lean RKY: no governor race in 2026LA: no governor race in 2026Massachusetts: Solid DMaryland: Solid DMaine: Very Likely DMichigan: Lean DMinnesota: Very Likely DMO: no governor race in 2026MS: no governor race in 2026MT: no governor race in 2026NC: no governor race in 2026ND: no governor race in 2026Nebraska: Likely RNew Hampshire: Likely RNJ: no governor race in 2026New Mexico: Very Likely DNevada: Tilt RNew York: Solid DOhio: Toss-upOklahoma: Very Likely ROregon: Lean DPennsylvania: Solid DRhode Island: Very Likely DSouth Carolina: Solid RSouth Dakota: Solid RTennessee: Solid RTexas: Likely RUT: no governor race in 2026VA: no governor race in 2026Vermont: Very Likely RWA: no governor race in 2026Wisconsin: Tilt DWV: no governor race in 2026Wyoming: Solid R AKALARAZCACOFLGAIAIDILINKSKYLAMEMIMNMOMSMTNCNDNENMNVNYOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWIWVWY
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  • Lean D
  • Tilt D
  • Toss-up
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Analysis

Georgia’s open governorship is one of the marquee contests of the cycle. Keisha Lance Bottoms (D), the former Atlanta mayor and a senior advisor in the Biden White House, would be the first Black woman to serve as governor of any state. Rick Jackson (R), founder of the healthcare staffing firm Jackson Healthcare, is a self-funding first-time candidate who won the nomination over Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, Trump’s pick in the primary. Trump endorsed Jackson in July, and Barack Obama endorsed Lance Bottoms on October 8. Lance Bottoms is running on expanding Medicaid, letting localities drop sales taxes on groceries, building more housing, and fully funding schools. Her first full attack ad of the general election says Jackson made his fortune “off a broken healthcare system,” and she casts him as wanting “to be Trump’s favorite governor.” Jackson is running as an outsider with a tax-cutting platform, pledging to halve the state income tax and freeze property taxes, and he has said he will remind voters of the crime problems Atlanta faced during her tenure as mayor. At their only debate together, an October 6 town hall, he said “bad mayors don’t make good governors” and backed Medicaid expansion only if it does not jeopardize existing federal funding. On data centers, she called for a pause on new construction, while he said he would require local community approval. Jackson declined the October 12 debate, leaving Lance Bottoms to take questions alone; she said voters deserved answers on the six-week abortion ban, state contracts, and his ties to Trump, while he said voters care about affordability and gas prices. In the closing stretch Jackson has leaned on the outgoing governor, campaigning with Kemp and promising to “build on Brian Kemp’s legacy.” Jackson kept his remarks brief at Trump’s October 16 rally in Dalton. Early voting opened October 13 with more than 190,000 ballots cast on the first day, a midterm record. The money is lopsided: pro-Jackson groups have spent or reserved nearly $76 million in general-election airtime, against about $8 million for Lance Bottoms and her allies, and Jackson had put at least $108 million of his own fortune into the race through June. Democrats have not won a Georgia governor’s race since 1998.

The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.

Georgia governors since 1991

Republicans have held the office since 2003. The last Democrat was Roy Barnes (1999–2003).

19911995200020052010201520202025

Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.

  1. Brian Kemp R · 2019–present · 2 terms
    Elected 2018 (+1.4), reelected 2022 (+7.5)
  2. Nathan Deal R · 2011–2019 · 2 terms
    Elected 2010 (+10.1), reelected 2014 (+7.9)
  3. Sonny Perdue R · 2003–2011 · 2 terms
    Elected 2002 (+5.2), reelected 2006 (+19.7)
  4. Roy Barnes D · 1999–2003 · 1 term
    Elected 1998 (+8.4), lost reelection 2002
  5. Zell Miller D · 1991–1999 · 2 terms
    Elected 1990 (+8.4), reelected 1994 (+2.1)
See the full Georgia governor timeline and every election since 1954 →

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