2026 governor races › Idaho

Idaho Governor Race 2026: Little vs. Pickens

General election November 3, 2026 · Updated October 19, 2026

Solid RIncumbent: Brad Little (R)

Gov. Brad Little (R) is seeking a third term.

Candidates

Where the race stands

No RealClearPolling average for this race. An Advanced Targeting Research poll of registered voters (September 13 to 16) had Little (R) 37, Pickens (D) 27, and Stegner (I) 13, with 20 percent undecided. Markets give Little about 98 percent on Polymarket and Republicans 98 percent on Kalshi.
2026 governor races
Alaska: Tilt DAlabama: Very Likely RArkansas: Solid RArizona: Lean DCalifornia: Solid DColorado: Solid DConnecticut: Solid DDE: no governor race in 2026Florida: Lean RGeorgia: Toss-upHawaii: Solid DIowa: Tilt DIdaho: Solid RIllinois: Solid DIN: no governor race in 2026Kansas: Lean RKY: no governor race in 2026LA: no governor race in 2026Massachusetts: Solid DMaryland: Solid DMaine: Very Likely DMichigan: Lean DMinnesota: Very Likely DMO: no governor race in 2026MS: no governor race in 2026MT: no governor race in 2026NC: no governor race in 2026ND: no governor race in 2026Nebraska: Likely RNew Hampshire: Likely RNJ: no governor race in 2026New Mexico: Very Likely DNevada: Tilt RNew York: Solid DOhio: Toss-upOklahoma: Very Likely ROregon: Lean DPennsylvania: Solid DRhode Island: Very Likely DSouth Carolina: Solid RSouth Dakota: Solid RTennessee: Solid RTexas: Likely RUT: no governor race in 2026VA: no governor race in 2026Vermont: Very Likely RWA: no governor race in 2026Wisconsin: Tilt DWV: no governor race in 2026Wyoming: Solid R AKALARAZCACOFLGAIAIDILINKSKYLAMEMIMNMOMSMTNCNDNENMNVNYOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWIWVWY
  • Solid D
  • Very Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Tilt D
  • Toss-up
  • Tilt R
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Very Likely R
  • Solid R
  • No race

Analysis

Gov. Brad Little (R) is a heavy favorite for a third term in deep-red Idaho, and his campaign says he has raised a record $2.4 million. He faces trial attorney Terri Pickens (D), who has raised nearly $250,000, and retired Idaho Supreme Court Justice John Stegner (I), who has raised about $540,000. At an October 6 League of Women Voters forum that Little skipped, Pickens pledged a first budget restoring Medicaid expansion and mental health funding cut in the 2026 session, while Stegner said he would seek to repeal the Parental Choice Tax Credit, the state's private-school voucher law, and would challenge it in court as his first executive action. Both back Proposition 1 on the ballot and oppose the state's 287(g) agreement with ICE. Paul Sand (L) and a Constitution Party candidate are also on the ballot.

The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.

Idaho governors since 1991

Republicans have held the office since 1995. The last Democrat was Cecil Andrus (1987–1995).

19911995200020052010201520202025

Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.

  1. Brad Little R · 2019–present · 2 terms
    Elected 2018 (+21.6), reelected 2022 (+40.2)
  2. C.L. "Butch" Otter R · 2007–2019 · 3 terms
    Elected 2006 (+8.6), reelected 2010 (+26.3), reelected 2014 (+15.0)
  3. Jim Risch R · 2006–2007 · partial term
    Succeeded to office 2006
  4. Dirk Kempthorne R · 1999–2006 · 2 terms
    Elected 1998 (+38.6), reelected 2002 (+14.6), resigned 2006
  5. Phil Batt R · 1995–1999 · 1 term
    Elected 1994 (+8.4)
  6. Cecil Andrus D · 1987–1995 · 2 terms
    Elected 1986 (+0.9), reelected 1990 (+36.4)
See the full Idaho governor timeline and every election since 1954 →

Continue Exploring