2026 governor races › Maine

Maine Governor Race 2026: Pingree vs. Charles

General election November 3, 2026 · Updated October 19, 2026

Very Likely DOpen seat

Open seat; Gov. Janet Mills (D) is term-limited.

Candidates

Where the race stands

The RealClearPolling three-way average has Pingree (D) 48.9, Charles (R) 37.6, and Bennett (I) 6.5 (Pingree +11.3, eight polls), with every poll in it showing Pingree ahead by 8 to 13 points. The most recent, from Suffolk University (October 8 to 11), had Pingree at 49, Charles at 38, and Bennett at 8. Prediction markets give Democrats about 95 percent on Polymarket and 95 percent on Kalshi.
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Analysis

Maine's race to succeed term-limited Gov. Janet Mills (D) is a three-way contest, and the counting rules matter: Maine nominates by ranked choice, but two Maine Supreme Judicial Court opinions keep ranked-choice voting out of the general election for governor. The top vote-getter in November wins outright, even without a majority. Hannah Pingree (D) is a former state House speaker and the daughter of U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree. Robert "Bobby" Charles (R) is a former naval intelligence officer who headed the State Department's narcotics and law enforcement bureau under President George W. Bush and now leads a Washington lobbying firm. Rick Bennett (I), a former chair of the Maine Republican Party who left the GOP in 2025, pitches himself as the alternative to both parties: "My jersey says Maine."

The four debates turned on costs. Pingree would double the homestead exemption to $50,000, spend $100 million a year on housing, and explore shifting some property tax burden onto nonresident second-home owners; Charles wants a $100,000 exemption for residents, an income tax cut phased in over four years, about $1 billion in first-year spending reductions, and a temporary gas tax suspension; Bennett would expand the Property Tax Fairness Credit and back first-time buyers' down payments. On energy, Pingree ties rising prices to Charles's support for Trump's Iran war and tariffs, Charles, who said at the final debate that he opposes both, argues Pingree "owns this issue." Pingree also backs a public insurance option and a plan to keep birthing clinics open.

The money favors Pingree. She has raised more than $4.2 million to Charles's $1.8 million and Bennett's $923,000, and the Republican Governors Association support Charles predicted has not materialized; a PAC formed by Republican donors to help Charles has instead spent $70,000 boosting Bennett. The Democratic Governors Association's Pine Tree State Prosperity had more than $8 million in future bookings in mid-September, against none from national Republican groups. In mid-September Pingree had nearly $1.2 million on hand to Charles's $395,000. With Bennett polling in single digits, the three-way field has not cut into Pingree's double-digit lead, and she is a clear favorite.

The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.

Maine governors since 1991

Democrats have held the office since 2019. The last Republican was Paul LePage (2011–2019).

19911995200020052010201520202025

Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.

  1. Janet Mills D · 2019–present · 2 terms
    Elected 2018 (+7.7), reelected 2022 (+13.2)
  2. Paul LePage R · 2011–2019 · 2 terms
    Elected 2010 (+1.7), reelected 2014 (+4.8)
  3. John Baldacci D · 2003–2011 · 2 terms
    Elected 2002 (+5.7), reelected 2006 (+7.9)
  4. Angus King I · 1995–2003 · 2 terms
    Elected 1994 (+1.5), reelected 1998 (+39.7)
  5. John R. McKernan Jr. R · 1987–1995 · 2 terms
    Elected 1986 (+9.7), reelected 1990 (+2.6)
See the full Maine governor timeline and every election since 1954 →

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