2026 governor races › Nevada

Nevada Governor Race 2026: Lombardo vs. Ford

General election November 3, 2026 · Updated October 19, 2026

Tilt RIncumbent: Joe Lombardo (R)

Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) is seeking a second term.

Candidates

Where the race stands

The RealClearPolling average is a dead tie, Lombardo (R) 42, Ford (D) 42, across two September polls: Noble Predictive Insights had Lombardo up two, and Emerson had Ford up two. Markets now lean to Ford: Polymarket has Ford at about 59 percent, and Kalshi has Democrats at about 56 percent.
2026 governor races
Alaska: Tilt DAlabama: Very Likely RArkansas: Solid RArizona: Lean DCalifornia: Solid DColorado: Solid DConnecticut: Solid DDE: no governor race in 2026Florida: Lean RGeorgia: Toss-upHawaii: Solid DIowa: Tilt DIdaho: Solid RIllinois: Solid DIN: no governor race in 2026Kansas: Lean RKY: no governor race in 2026LA: no governor race in 2026Massachusetts: Solid DMaryland: Solid DMaine: Very Likely DMichigan: Lean DMinnesota: Very Likely DMO: no governor race in 2026MS: no governor race in 2026MT: no governor race in 2026NC: no governor race in 2026ND: no governor race in 2026Nebraska: Likely RNew Hampshire: Likely RNJ: no governor race in 2026New Mexico: Very Likely DNevada: Tilt RNew York: Solid DOhio: Toss-upOklahoma: Very Likely ROregon: Lean DPennsylvania: Solid DRhode Island: Very Likely DSouth Carolina: Solid RSouth Dakota: Solid RTennessee: Solid RTexas: Likely RUT: no governor race in 2026VA: no governor race in 2026Vermont: Very Likely RWA: no governor race in 2026Wisconsin: Tilt DWV: no governor race in 2026Wyoming: Solid R AKALARAZCACOFLGAIAIDILINKSKYLAMEMIMNMOMSMTNCNDNENMNVNYOHOKORPASCSDTNTXUTVAWAWIWVWY
  • Solid D
  • Very Likely D
  • Lean D
  • Tilt D
  • Toss-up
  • Tilt R
  • Lean R
  • Likely R
  • Very Likely R
  • Solid R
  • No race

Analysis

Nevada’s incumbent, Joe Lombardo (R), a former Clark County sheriff with a 34-year law enforcement career, faces Attorney General Aaron Ford (D), a former public school teacher and state Senate majority leader who has been attorney general since 2019. Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball both rate it a toss-up. Lombardo has cast himself as a check on the Democratic legislature, with 162 vetoes across two sessions, the most by any Nevada governor; on housing he points to a bipartisan housing law that has begun funding new homes and rentals, and he wants more federal land turned over for development. Ford is running on affordability, promising to be “the most pro-working-class governor” the state has seen; he would sign new versions of vetoed bills on prescription drug costs, corporate home buying, and free school meals, and he backs repealing right-to-work. He argues Lombardo vetoed housing bills after a real estate billionaire put about $30 million into his campaign and an allied PAC in 2022. Lombardo’s side has made Ford the issue, tying him to California through Newsom’s endorsement and hitting his travel as attorney general; a state ethics panel advanced a complaint over more than $35,000 in sponsored international trips, an allegation rather than a finding. In October the fight turned to crime: a pro-Lombardo ad hit Ford for sponsoring a clemency application for a man convicted of manslaughter in the killing of a pregnant woman. A 2News fact check called the ad’s early-release claim misleading, but Senate Majority Leader Nicole Cannizzaro (D) said she would not have sponsored it. Lombardo’s job approval is split, 45 to 47, while Nevada voters disapprove of Trump 61 to 38. The money still favors Lombardo: his allied PAC has spent or reserved more than $29.3 million in ads to about $14.1 million for the main Democratic group, though Ford out-raised him in direct contributions last quarter. The two are unlikely to debate. Danielle Ford (I), a state Board of Education member (not the attorney general), is also on the ballot and drew 7 percent in the Noble poll.

The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.

Nevada governors since 1991

Republicans have held the office since 2023. The last Democrat was Steve Sisolak (2019–2023).

19911995200020052010201520202025

Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.

  1. Joe Lombardo R · 2023–present · 1 term
    Elected 2022 (+1.5)
  2. Steve Sisolak D · 2019–2023 · 1 term
    Elected 2018 (+4.1), lost reelection 2022
  3. Brian Sandoval R · 2011–2019 · 2 terms
    Elected 2010 (+12.0), reelected 2014 (+46.7)
  4. Jim Gibbons R · 2007–2011 · 1 term
    Elected 2006 (+4.0), lost renomination 2011
  5. Kenny Guinn R · 1999–2007 · 2 terms
    Elected 1998 (+9.6), reelected 2002 (+46.2)
  6. Bob Miller D · 1989–1999 · 2 terms
    Elected 1990 (+35.0), reelected 1994 (+11.4)
See the full Nevada governor timeline and every election since 1950 →

Continue Exploring