Gov. Dan McKee (D) lost the September 9 primary; the seat changes hands in January.
Candidates
- Helena Foulkes Democrat Democratic nominee, former CVS Pharmacy president
- Ken Block Independent Independent, ran in 2010 and 2014
- Aaron Guckian Republican Republican nominee, 2022 Lt. Gov. nominee
- Jasjit Gotra Independent Independent
- C.D. Reynolds Independent Independent
Where the race stands
- Solid D
- Very Likely D
- Lean D
- Tilt D
- Toss-up
- Tilt R
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Very Likely R
- Solid R
- No race
Analysis
Helena Foulkes (D), 62, unseated Gov. Dan McKee in the September primary. A former president of CVS Pharmacy (2014 to 2018), she has made housing the centerpiece of her campaign, pledging 20,000 new units over eight years funded partly by the state's new surtax on income over $1 million, and she has made infant child care costs a signature issue.
The real November contest is now with Ken Block (I), a software engineer who ran for governor in 2010 and 2014 and is pitching government efficiency and pocketbook issues. Block is the only candidate viewed more favorably than unfavorably in the WPRI poll, and he drew nearly half of independents. The state Democratic Party has spent $300,000 on mailers casting him as a secret Republican, and the Democratic Governors Association has put in $500,000 for Foulkes. A Laborers union arm plans to spend $500,000 for her, and in mid-October Foulkes had booked about $150,000 in TV time for a single week, while Block's most recent orders totaled about $25,000. WPRI analyst Joe Fleming says Block would have to pull from Foulkes's Democratic base to win, which could prove difficult. Aaron Guckian (R), a former aide to Gov. Don Carcieri and the party's 2022 nominee for lieutenant governor, has refused calls to leave the race so Block can consolidate the anti-Foulkes vote, and told Block at a debate, "You cut the line." Housing, Foulkes's centerpiece, has dominated the debates: Foulkes would create a public revolving fund for developers, Block favors an approach tailored to each municipality, and Guckian proposes modular-home communities for veterans and frontline workers. At the final debate on October 20, Foulkes said her 20,000 homes would be priced at $250,000 to $300,000, while Guckian and Block named no target. Jasjit Gotra (I) and C.D. Reynolds (I) are also on the ballot. The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid Democratic; Pluribus News has it Likely Democratic.
The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.
Rhode Island governors since 1991
Democrats have held the office since 2013. The last Republican was Donald Carcieri (2003–2011).
Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.
- Succeeded to office 2021, elected 2022 (+19.1)
- Elected 2014 (+4.5), reelected 2018 (+15.5), resigned 2021
- Elected 2010 (+2.5)
- Elected 2002 (+9.5), reelected 2006 (+2.0)
- Elected 1994 (+3.8), reelected 1998 (+8.8)
- Elected 1990 (+48.3), reelected 1992 (+27.3), lost renomination 1995