Open seat; Gov. Henry McMaster (R) is term-limited.
Candidates
- Alan Wilson Republican Nominee, state attorney general Running mate: Mike Reichenbach
- Jermaine Johnson Democrat Nominee, state representative Running mate: Sam Skardon
- Michael Addison United Citizens Running mate: Candace Brewer
- Walid Hakim Green Running mate: Arnold E Karr
Where the race stands
- Solid D
- Very Likely D
- Lean D
- Tilt D
- Toss-up
- Tilt R
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Very Likely R
- Solid R
- No race
Analysis
South Carolina is an open seat with Gov. Henry McMaster term-limited. Attorney General Alan Wilson (R), the state’s top prosecutor since 2011, won the nomination after Trump endorsed both him and his runoff rival. He faces state Rep. Jermaine Johnson (D), a former College of Charleston basketball standout who talks about safer communities, better schools, and repairing roads and bridges. Wilson’s affordability plan centers on doing away with the state income tax, reworking property taxes, letting a governor pause the gas tax for up to 120 days, and adding energy competition; Johnson proposes targeted income tax relief for lower-income families and state reinvestment in roads, trade schools, and manufacturing. At their only scheduled debate, Johnson backed Medicaid expansion, a moratorium on new data centers, and a statewide ban on Flock license plate cameras; Wilson warned expansion could crowd out teacher raises and law enforcement services, opposed a data center moratorium in favor of local control, and defended the cameras as a law enforcement tool. Michael Addison (United Citizens) and Walid Hakim (G) are also on the ballot. Wilson is the heavy favorite.
The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.
South Carolina governors since 1991
Republicans have held the office since 2003. The last Democrat was Jim Hodges (1999–2003).
Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.
- Succeeded to office 2017, elected 2018 (+8.0), reelected 2022 (+17.4)
- Elected 2010 (+4.5), reelected 2014 (+14.5), resigned 2017
- Elected 2002 (+5.7), reelected 2006 (+10.3)
- Elected 1998 (+8.0), lost reelection 2002
- Elected 1994 (+2.5), lost reelection 1998
- Elected 1986 (+3.1), reelected 1990 (+41.6)