Open seat; Gov. Bill Lee (R) is term-limited.
Candidates
- Marsha Blackburn Republican Nominee, U.S. Senator
- Jerri Green Democrat Nominee, Memphis city councilwoman
- Charles Van Morgan Independent
- Dave Seeman Independent
- David Hatley Independent
- Dean Brewer Independent
- Eddie Lee Murphy Independent
- Karl Knox Smithson Independent
- L Webb Taylor Independent
- Lauren Pinkston Independent
- Misam Abidi Independent
- Ray Brown Independent
- Robert C Vick Independent
- Victor L Scoggin Independent
- Wendell Jackson Independent
Where the race stands
- Solid D
- Very Likely D
- Lean D
- Tilt D
- Toss-up
- Tilt R
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Very Likely R
- Solid R
- No race
Analysis
Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R) faces Memphis City Councilwoman Jerri Green (D) for the seat term-limited Gov. Bill Lee (R) is leaving, so the winner will be Tennessee's first female governor. Thirteen independents are also on the ballot, among them businessman David Hatley (I), who says he will spend up to $20 million of his own money, and former Lipscomb University professor Lauren Pinkston (I).
Blackburn is running on economic growth and tax cuts, immigration enforcement, women's sports, and public safety. Her most specific state-level idea is a "bell to bell, no cell" ban on student phones for the whole school day, beyond the instructional-time limit in the 2025 state law. She has declined to debate; her campaign said "I'm not going to give air to a socialist candidate"; Green's campaign proposed four dates and says she will show up either way.
Green is running on raising the minimum wage to at least $20 an hour, ending the grocery sales tax by closing corporate loopholes and Lee's corporate tax rebate program, expanding Medicaid to protect rural hospitals, and defunding the school voucher program in her first budget. On energy, Blackburn backs small modular reactors at Oak Ridge and fossil fuels, while Green wants a statewide data center moratorium. A Blackburn win would open her U.S. Senate seat, and she plans to choose her replacement once she is governor.
The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.
Tennessee governors since 1991
Republicans have held the office since 2011. The last Democrat was Phil Bredesen (2003–2011).
Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.
- Elected 2018 (+21.0), reelected 2022 (+32.0)
- Elected 2010 (+32.0), reelected 2014 (+47.5)
- Elected 2002 (+3.1), reelected 2006 (+38.9)
- Elected 1994 (+9.6), reelected 1998 (+39.1)
- Elected 1986 (+8.5), reelected 1990 (+24.2)