Open seat; Gov. Tony Evers (D) is retiring after two terms.
Candidates
- David Crowley Democrat Milwaukee County executive
- Tom Tiffany Republican U.S. Rep., Trump-endorsed
Where the race stands
- Solid D
- Very Likely D
- Lean D
- Tilt D
- Toss-up
- Tilt R
- Lean R
- Likely R
- Very Likely R
- Solid R
- No race
Analysis
Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley (D) faces U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany (R), who carries Trump's endorsement, for the seat Gov. Tony Evers (D) is leaving. Wisconsin elects governor and lieutenant governor on a joint ticket: Crowley is running with Secretary of State Sarah Godlewski, and Tiffany with former Lancaster Mayor David Varnam.
Crowley is campaigning on affordable housing and childcare, including a 7 percent cap on family childcare costs, universal early childhood education, and nonpartisan redistricting. Tiffany wants to end state subsidies for data centers and is attacking Crowley's record running Milwaukee County, including a budget deficit that led to tax hikes; his newest ads promise a 10 percent income tax cut for working families and a return of the state surplus. Despite the endorsement, Tiffany has kept his distance from Trump, breaking with him on data centers.
Crowley holds a small polling lead, but Marquette found his unfavorable rating up from 29 to 44 percent since August, mostly among Republicans. Tiffany has the money edge: he raised about $26.3 million from July through late September to about $10.2 million for Crowley. Most of Tiffany's haul came as transfers from a state party funded largely by Richard and Elizabeth Uihlein and Diane Hendricks, and Crowley says "three billionaires are trying to buy" the office. Ad reservations top $82.5 million, more than $50 million of it backing Tiffany, though Crowley's side matched the GOP side in the most recent week of reservations. In their only debate, on October 21, Tiffany said he would keep Wisconsin’s law allowing abortion through 20 weeks of pregnancy, and Crowley said Tiffany "is working for Donald Trump and the billionaires who are funding his campaign."
The rating is MultiState's consensus, the average of the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Pluribus News. Polling is the RealClearPolling average where one exists.
Wisconsin governors since 1991
Democrats have held the office since 2019. The last Republican was Scott Walker (2011–2019).
Each block is one governor; thin lines mark a reelection. Margins are the winner's lead over the runner-up, in points.
- Elected 2018 (+1.1), reelected 2022 (+3.4)
- Elected 2010 (+5.8), survived 2012 recall (+6.8), reelected 2014 (+5.7), lost reelection 2018
- Elected 2002 (+3.7), reelected 2006 (+7.4)
- Succeeded to office 2001, lost reelection 2002
- Elected 1986 (+6.5), reelected 1990 (+16.4), reelected 1994 (+36.4), reelected 1998 (+21.0), resigned 2001